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international / economics and finance Friday May 22, 2020 00:01 by 1 of indy
Feedback from software professionals on Twitter was scathing
Prof Neil Ferguson who was the chief advisor to the UK government in the lead up to the Covid lockdown and was instrumental in bringing it about based his advice the output of his own undocumented computer code he wrote 13 years ago. In the initial stages of the crisis his "model" predicted 500,000 deaths in the UK from Covid. Then a short time later, he revised his figures sharply downward and said his model now predicted to 20,000 deaths. This incidentally is the same number of deaths from flu in the UK in a typical year. So it appears to be the case that the UK has committed economic suicide based on software that no-one else could inspect in advance nor was there any independent verification. To make decisions based on this type of methodology is nothing short of criminal. And we haven't even got to the assumptions used which obviously are on equally shaky ground given one day the model was predicting 500,000 dead and then when obviously some level of correction was done, it was then only 20,000. Related Links: COVID 19 Is A Statistical Nonsense | The Vaunted “R Number” the UK Is Destroying Itself Over Is Shamanic Mumbo Jumbo Not only is the data going in weak and uncertain, but even the core assumptions of the model are educated guesses subject to bias | Covid-19: Neil Ferguson, the Liberal Lyssenko | Sweden Has Covid-19 Beat, Leaving Everyone Who Locked Down With Egg on Their Face
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 3 comments (last - thursday july 23, 2020 20:35)
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Thu 28 Nov, 11:00
Sorry, no stories matched your search, maybe try again with different settings. Sorry, no press releases matched your search, maybe try again with different settings. Day 419 in Gaza: Israeli Forces Kill Civilians in Ongoing Attacks Thu Nov 28, 2024 10:11 | admin Israeli Army Shoots a Child Near Jenin, Abducts Two in Nablus Thu Nov 28, 2024 01:42 | Ali Salam UPDATED Day 418: Including Many Children, Israel Kills Dozens in Gaza Wed Nov 27, 2024 22:54 | IMEMC News Soldiers Shoot Two Palestinians, Abduct Four, in Tubas and Al-Far?a Camp Wed Nov 27, 2024 17:38 | Ali Salam Israeli Colonizers Cut 100 Olive Trees Near Salfit Wed Nov 27, 2024 17:13 | IMEMC News |
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